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Showing posts from April, 2020

An analysis on existence of conspiracy theories

1) There is a non-zero probability of existence of one or more grand conspiracies.
2) The control of information and thus narrative defining power is getting more and more centralized so possibility of nefarious groups to gain more and more control is also increasing.
3) A general grand narrative has a self-preserving characteristic that the capability of a person to analyze and verify is generally proportional to the person's ability to benefit from such a narrative.
4) Specialization of knowledge increases the possibility of a conspiracy going undetected by the vast majority of people.
5) The only method available to a common person is to analyze for any inconsistencies or gaps in a narrative. Generally the fringe narratives have larger gaps or inconsistencies, though the mainstream normative authoritative narratives are also not devoid of them.
6) Analysis capability (Access to information, freedom of thought, opportunity) is probably normally distributed and generally a person can …